The WSJ reports that the Fed is debating scaling back its mortgage bond purchases faster than Treasuries. The fact that this is even a debate with housing prices rocketing higher and homes selling for well over asking price is disturbing. The housing market needs no help today and could actually benefit from tighter lending conditions.
The Fed has bought $982 billion of the mortgage bonds since March 5, 2020, and currently plans to keep buying at least $40 billion each month. Those purchases, along with the Fed’s monthly purchases of $80 billion of Treasury debt, aim to hold down long-term borrowing costs to stimulate the economy as it recovers from the effects of the pandemic.
Fed officials at their June 15-16 policy meeting reaffirmed plans to continue holding short-term interest rates near zero and continue the asset purchases for some time. They also began discussing when and how to begin reducing, or tapering, asset purchases as an initial step toward weaning the economy off such support.
Two-Speed Taper?Fed officials are debating whether to scaleback mortgage-bond buying earlier or fasterthan purchases of Treasury bonds.Fed’s asset holdingsSource: Federal ReservetrillionMortgage-backed securitiesU.S. Treasury securities2020’210.02.55.07.5$10.0One option suggested at the meeting was to start scaling back the mortgage-bond purchases earlier or more quickly than the Treasury debt purchases, officials said. Call it a two-speed taper.
“There are some unintended consequences and side effects of these purchases that we are seeing play out,” Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan said in an interview, referring to the mortgage-bond purchases, which he thinks are contributing to skyrocketing home prices. He had said previously that he was questioning whether the purchases are still needed. “I’ve shared my views” at the policy meeting, he said.
St. Louis Fed President James Bullard, in a June 18 CNBC interview, said, “I’m leaning a little bit toward the idea that maybe we don’t need to be in mortgage-backed securities with a booming housing market and even a threatening housing bubble here, according to some people.”
